On 28 February 2024, the European Commission published the conclusions of a trade and sustainability impact assessment that it commissioned to examine the potential negative impacts of a planned EU-India Free Trade Agreement. The assessment finds serious human rights concerns associated with the agreement, including for religious minorities in India, leading human rights organisations and progressive Indian diaspora to sound the alarm bells.
The assessment concludes: “Due to a serious pre-existing vulnerability regarding multiple issues related to human and labour rights […] the potential of the FTA/IPA is not likely to be used to the full, but only to a limited extent, or not at all.” The impact assessment also notes that the deteriorating human rights situation in India and shrinking civic space make it impossible to implement the FTA to benefit all.
Notably, the impact assessment finds that the trade agreement would have a negative impact on religious minorities, a group that is currently particularly vulnerable to human rights violations due to the Hindu supremacist ideology the Indian government has enshrined in law. The assessment notes the prevalence of demolitions of Muslim homes and businesses, and concludes that there would be a “major” impact “at sector level” on the right to adequate standard of living if the trade agreement was concluded. Additionally, it finds that the trade agreement would have a minor, but direct, impact on religious minorities’ freedom from slavery and forced labour and freedom from discrimination more broadly, as they might be pushed into further precarious labour.
The conclusions of the impact assessment affirm the concerns that human rights organisations and progressive Indian diaspora have expressed over the past years. Foundation The London Story (TLS), an Indian diaspora-led organisation based in the Netherlands, had been engaging closely with EU decision-makers throughout the negotiations process.